talk · Thursday 24 September · 12:15–⁠12:27 · SAL B

Artificial Intelligence Amplifies Paleontology's Reproducibility Problem

Brooke Long-Fox · AI-Readiness Metrics and Metadata for Biodiversity Data

Recording time 4:06:41–4:18:08Open on Vimeo ↗

Summaries and key moments are machine-produced. Check the recording for the speaker’s exact words.

The short versionAI can make uncertain paleontological data look clean and authoritative, so AI-ready data must also be verifiable back to evidence and interpretation.

Overview

What this was about

Brooke Long-Fox, a data curation scientist at MorphoBank and data editor for Historical Biology, argued that AI is entering a field that already has reproducibility problems of availability (data not deposited or on personal websites), documentation (no README, undefined characters) and traceability (unclear links from evidence to result). AI can turn ambiguous or incomplete sources into perfectly formatted, schema-valid tables that get DOIs and feed further AI, improving structure without improving scientific validity. Using morphological character matrices, she showed that a binary score can encode expert judgements about homology, preservation and ontogeny, and proposed adding verifiability to AI readiness: tracing assertions to evidence, recording whether they were transcribed, transformed or inferred, and who validated them.

Why it matters. It distinguishes technical validity from scientific validity, a warning relevant to any biodiversity data being mass-extracted or inferred by AI.

Key ideas

In the room

  • This is not an argument against AI; she uses AI-assisted curation, but AI can amplify existing reproducibility problems.
  • Paleontology is data-intensive; the digital extended specimen links a specimen to images, occurrences, stratigraphy, measurements, matrices and outputs, so errors propagate further.
  • Availability problems: data never deposited, manuscripts claiming no data exist, files on personal websites or cloud links, private or incomplete repository records.
  • Documentation problems: no README or data dictionary, unexplained abbreviations, 3D models without links to specimens, incomplete character definitions; a PID says where a file is, not what it means.
  • Traceability problems: data statements not matching deposits, scores not linked to sources, matrices modified across studies without documentation, unclear versions.
  • AI can produce schema-valid, DOI-bearing structured outputs from ambiguous sources (e.g. OCR column shifts, inconsistent translation), which then feed other AI systems.
  • Technical validity is not scientific validity: a matrix cell such as character 37 = 0/1 may encode reasoning about homology, absence vs non-preservation, ontogeny, polymorphism or inapplicability.
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Notable moments

In their words

Transcript

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Programme abstract

Artificial Intelligence Amplifies Paleontology’s Reproducibility Problem

Brooke Long-Fox

Paleontology has become a data-intensive science. Along with the specimen, large amounts of associated data are produced. These data are distributed across supplementary files, institutional databases, and discipline-specific repositories, and reproducibility problems are common: missing datasets, character matrices that fail to execute, incomplete documentation, unverifiable specimen vouchers, and missing methodological detail. Many of these problems predate AI, but AI methods are now being applied to paleontological data faster than existing infrastructure was designed to support, particularly LLMs that extract structured data from legacy literature and vision models that classify specimens from images. AI offers reproducibility benefits, including standardization at scale and recovery of data from inaccessible literature. However, it also introduces a specific risk: it can scale and conceal existing data quality problems by converting incomplete, ambiguous, or unverifiable source material into structured outputs that meet FAIR criteria and appear authoritative. A dataset can pass automated validation, receive a persistent identifier, and be reused in computational workflows while lacking the provenance, expert validation, and traceable interpretation required to assess its reliability. AI-readiness in paleontology must therefore be defined by verifiability, including provenance to source evidence, executability of analyses, and traceability of expert judgment. Journals should require disclosure of AI involvement in dataset construction and extend peer review to AI-generated data; repositories should treat AI provenance, validation status, and source linkage as first-class metadata.

Submitted to the conference programme before the talk, so the talk itself may differ.